How tasks are costed
manaCost=relativeCost×durationmin×personalCoefficient×axisFactor×0.5
| Variable | Description |
|---|
relativeCost | Effort relative to user baseline |
durationMinutes | Task duration |
personalCoefficient | Condition severity multiplier |
axisFactor | Daily variation multiplier from check-in |
0.5 | Normalization constant |
Where relative cost comes from
For template tasks:
relativeCost=max(baseMET−1.0, 0.1)
For user-created tasks:
impliedCoefficient=0.8×1.8(rating−1)
impliedRelativeCost=personalCoefficientimpliedCoefficient
After a personal task reaches 10 completions, personal completion behavior can override template-derived cost.
Physical vs cognitive split
Each task has body/mind weights (e.g. vacuuming 0.90/0.10, form-filling 0.15/0.85). This controls how much body and mind check-in values contribute to axis factor for that task.
Example: brushing teeth
Healthy person, neutral day:
1.0×2min×1.0×1.0×0.5=1.0mana
Moderate ME/CFS profile (coefficient 2.6), neutral day:
1.0×2min×2.6×1.0×0.5=2.6mana
Same task and duration, but 2.6x cost due to condition severity.
Axis factor (daily variation)
effectiveRating=wbody×body+wmind×mind
axisFactor=1.0+(3.0−effectiveRating)×s,s={0.250.10if effectiveRating<3otherwise
Asymmetry is deliberate: bad days raise costs aggressively; good days lower costs conservatively.
| Check-in state | Axis factor | Cost effect |
|---|
| All 1s | ~1.50 | +50% |
| All 2s | ~1.25 | +25% |
| All 3s | 1.00 | no adjustment |
| All 4s | ~0.90 | -10% |
| All 5s | ~0.80 | -20% |
For non-full check-ins: Tier 2 maps identically, Tier 3 dampens yesterday’s axis factor by x 0.9, Tier 4 defaults to 1.0.
Personal coefficient (condition severity)
| Severity | Coefficient | Typical pool |
|---|
| Healthy | ~1.0 | 100-130 |
| Mild | ~1.5 | 50-80 |
| Moderate | ~2.0-3.0 | 25-50 |
| Severe | ~3.5-5.0 | 8-20 |
Initial calibration:
personalCoefficient=weightedAverage(impliedCoefficients, taskWeights)
Ongoing adaptation:
baselineSpend=∑task.axisFactortask.manaCost
dailyRatio=allocatedManabaselineSpend,coefficientEwma=α⋅dailyRatio+(1−α)⋅coefficientEwma
Axis factor is stripped before coefficient learning so rough days do not masquerade as long-term severity changes.
Mana pool (daily budget)
Stable pool design
The pool does not directly follow today’s check-in. Daily variation flows through task costs (axis factor), not pool size.
This avoids circular shrinkage loops where low check-ins both reduce pool and increase costs.
Pool calculation
poolEwmat=α⋅spendt+(1−α)⋅poolEwmat−1
dailyPool=poolEwma×bias,bias=0.80+confidence×0.17
| Variable | Value | Notes |
|---|
alpha | 0.15 normal, 0.35 fast | Fast mode on regime shift |
bias | 0.80-0.97 | Conservative margin tied to confidence |
Confidence model
| Event | Confidence effect |
|---|
| Tier 1 day | +0.03 |
| Tier 2 day | +0.02 |
| Tier 3-4 day | +0.01 |
| PEM detected | -0.30 |
| Sustained underperformance | -0.05/day |
| Regime shift | -0.50 |
| Confidence | Bias |
|---|
| 0.0 | 0.80 |
| 0.5 | 0.885 |
| 1.0 | 0.97 |
Absence and return behavior
Absence does not decay confidence. After 7+ days away, return runs a 3-check-in recovery modifier (0.85 then 0.95 then restore).
Severity-level intuition
| Severity | Coefficient | Typical pool | Manageable day often looks like |
|---|
| Healthy | 1.0 | 100-130 | hygiene + admin + outing + exercise |
| Mild | 1.5 | 50-80 | hygiene + light cooking + one outing |
| Moderate | 2.6 | 25-50 | essentials + one meaningful activity |
| Severe | 4.0 | 8-20 | essentials + basic hygiene + limited upright time |
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